(2019) Week 10 NFL Bettor’s Guide – Picks ATS, Totals and Teasers [11/7 – 11/11/19]

RECORD: 17-19-0 // LOSSES: $35,400

Week 10 was one to forget; but alas, we can always learn something from our experiences.  Part of the strength of the NFL Portfolio “Way” is consistency in our process, regardless of prior week’s results.  The season is a marathon, not a sprint, and there are always ups and downs.  It is good to still be up on the season, and remain there even after taking a hit like this.  We will grow from here on in, as we gear up for the last 7 weeks of the season.  It’s going by fast!

Full results available here.


Week 10 plays Against the Spread (ATS), Totals and Teasers shown here.

Week 9 NFL Bettor’s Guide – Picks ATS, Totals and Teasers [10/30 – 11/4/19]

RECORD: 23-14-1 // GAINS: $38,700

This was a killer week, now adding on for 3 straight winning weeks.  We’ve got our first positive streak of the season.


Finally, after 8 weeks, the system has gotten its head above water.  Now, on the plus side for the season, and with a ton of game tape digested, we have a better sense for who these teams are.  The strange trends, like Home Teams and Favorites losing – more frequently than in seasons past – will be taken into account.  We’re down on ATS picks and way up on Teasers, and generally positive on Totals.

So let’s go, second half of the season kicks off.

 

Week 6 NFL Bettor’s Guide – Picks ATS, Totals and Teasers [10/10 – 10/14/19]

RECORD: 21-18-0 // LOSSES ($4,200)

It started off looking like a good week, with the Patriots game going our way.  But things got dicey on Sunday, and Monday Night capped off going against us.  The overall record was winning, but gains were just about flat, with a slight loss actually on the week after the promising start.  Back to the drawing board!

Here is a prognostication video with all betting guide picks explained for NFL Week 6.

Week 5 NFL Bettor’s Guide – Picks ATS, Totals and Teasers [10/3 – 10/7/19]

Record: 20-20-1 / LOSS: ($60,600)

With a solid winning week (NFL Season Week 4) under our belt, we’re looking to make it 2 in a row going into the 2nd Quarter of the season.  2 teams on Bye (Lions, Dolphins) which leaves us with a slate of 15 games.  Here is how we’re looking.

Catch the full football prognostication video for NFL Week 5 here.

Chips & Helmets on the Table here.  5* in Blue / 4* in Black / 3* in Yellow / 2* or 1* in White.

Week 3 NFL Game Predictions & Results [9/19 – 9/23]

RESULTS: ($1,200) / RECORD: 23-20-1 (53% Win Pct)

Here we go, Week 3 in the NFL.  All 16 games are being picked ATS (Against the Spread), as well as Totals and 12 Teasers to boot.  Remember, this isn’t any old football sports betting site – this is a time-tested prognostication system and investment methodology at work!

Seen another (more visual) way, take a look at our Helmets & Chips Table.

Lastly, you can also catch a 10-minute video, with our Head Prognosticator outlining all of this week’s ‘portfolio allocations’ (aka, picks).

More People are Playing – Great, But Who is Actually Winning?

More people are gambling on Sports in America, with NFL Football easily being the most popular bet, than ever before, spurred on by recent legalization of gambling in several states.  New Jersey just became the new capital of Sports betting in the United States, overtaking Las Vegas – see this NY Times article for more details on that.  The state has been gunning for this title a long time, and finally having overcome regulatory obstacles, sports gambling has become legal in the State as of 2018.  That didn’t take very long, did it?  As other major market states watch closely, the revenue opportunities are there for governments – the ultimate bookies or gangsters, whichever term you prefer – to take their cuts.  And we all know how well the bookies are making out.  Lastly, don’t forget that the NFL and its monstrous media partners all have clear cut stake in various gaming operations and multi-billion dollar advertisers like Draft Kings who flood every possible media channel to reach new users on a daily basis.

So who is paying the bill for all of this advertising, tax revenue and gaming profits?  Well, it’s obviously you…and all of the other ‘players’ who are paying to play, for the chance to win, for entertainment, we might say to justify this guilty pleasure of a habit at best, and financial wellness threatening addiction at worst.

How many people out there do you think are able to ‘beat the system’ and win, over the long haul – not just “having a great week” or possibly a good winning season.  I don’t know the real number, but I’m sure that the bookies do – and it’s almost certainly less than 5% “Winners”.  There are Pros of course – I’m one of them – who know how to play, systematically, and win consistently.  However, in spite of a lot of promises and hype, none have been able to organize and train the masses well enough to increase the collective winning percentage of casual gamblers.  That is because it takes great discipline to play; either that, or turn your funds over to someone else that can do it better – a kind of gambling hedge fund strategy, something that we are working on at NFL Portfolio.  Because I personally experience and understand the thrill that goes along with making your own picks, we also offer systems and tools that allow you to take our research and technology back ‘home’, to create and hone your own – hopefully not haphazard – process for making picks.

Bottom line is this.  I don’t want you to Pay to Play any longer; I want you to Play to Win.  The House will survive, governments will still get their cut, and the NFL will continue to thrive as a mega-billion dollar industry.  In the meantime, we can increase our odds and winning percentages by some fraction that levels the playing field a bit.

When you’re ready to take it to the next level and start (seriously) Playing to Win, start by putting NFL Portfolio to work for you.

Week 2 NFL Game Predictions & Results [9/12 – 9/16]

UP/DOWN – ($11,200)
Record – (22-23-0)

A second straight losing week to kick-off the season.  This is a first.  But we don’t panick, we get back to work.  It’s a long season, and our methodology doesn’t call for going into over-analysis over past performance.  Let’s see how Week 3 goes.


Week 2 is here, about to kick off at the time of this writing – Bucs at Panthers.  Picks across all NFL games for week 2 are below.

For a brief video synopsis, visit our Facebook Page: https://www.facebook.com/nflportfolio

We also signify different picks using colored circles.

Enjoy the season and games. Remember, if you bet on football, don’t just play for fun – play to win! This prognostication system can help you do that.